Gold price slips amid expectation of placatory tone from Donald Trump
London (Jan 20) Gold prices dipped on Friday as investors expect US president-elect Donald Trump to calm markets with a return to conciliatory language in his inaugural address.
If Trump repeated his reassuring tone in November immediately after the election, there would be scant need for the safe-haven aspects of gold, analysts said.
"On the whole we’d expect an appropriately presidential tone to be struck and that the dollar will gain and that bullion will once again be under pressure along with the rest of the precious metals complex," said Jonathan Butler, commodities analyst at Mitsubishi in London. "However, if we get any of the campaign trail divisive rhetoric, that’s probably going to sink that reflationary trade and boost gold as a safe-haven."
Trump is due to take the oath of office at 5pm GMT, after the close of European markets.
Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,199.09/oz by 11am GMT, while US gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,199.50.
"The incoming US administration is still a relatively unknown factor, certainly in comparison to other incoming administrations in recent decades," HSBC analyst James Steel said in a note.
Also weighing on gold was a firmer dollar, which makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, added 0.3% to 101.40.
Better than expected US jobs, housing and factory data reinforced the view that the US economy is sufficiently robust to warrant interest rate rises. Gold is highly sensitive to rising rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding assets such as bullion, while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced. The metal has risen more than 7% since dropping to its lowest in more than 10-and-a-half months in December, but has failed to break above a key level in recent days.
"Gold has dropped back from quite a significant technical level around $1,220, a critical retracement of last year’s high-to-low move. I would say from here, the risks are skewed to the downside in the short term," Butler added.
In other precious metals, silver shed 0.8% to $16.87/oz.
Platinum slipped 0.5% to $954.40/oz after touching a low of $943.75 in the previous session, its worst since January 5.
Palladium edged down 0.1% to $752.45/oz.
Source: Reuters
