Stronger equities weigh on gold price
London (Feb 13) Gold prices slipped on Monday as the dollar rose and equities climbed, but political and economic uncertainty in the US and in Europe due to elections is expected to continue to give underlying support for now.
The spot price was down 0.4% at $1,229.31/oz by 10.43am GMT from last week’s three-month high of $1,244,67. US gold futures were down 0.4% at $1,230.8.
The dollar hit a two-week high against the yen as investors focused again on the US reflation trade that dominated the aftermath of Donald Trump’s election as US president in November, but has stalled this year. A higher US currency makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially subduing demand. Investors bought equities, betting that Trump’s tax reform plans will boost economic growth and corporate profits, but they are concerned by his protectionist ideas on trade.
Elections in Europe start in the Netherlands at the end of March. The first round of the presidential elections in France follows in April. The possibility of Marine le Pen of the National Front winning is a root cause of much uncertainty.
"Support for gold because of politics will hold this side of the French election," said Danske Bank analyst Jens Pederson. "Le Pen’s comments on euro membership are very much on the radar. The UK vote to leave the EU and Trump’s election were unexpected.... Investors will lean towards safe assets."
Le Pen has rattled investors by promising to take France out of the eurozone and hold a referendum on EU membership.
"Global uncertainty from the US, Europe and on the Korean front will drive global prices high again," said Hareesh V, research head at Geofin Comtrade.
North Korea said on Monday it had successfully test-fired a new type of medium-to-long-range ballistic missile the previous day, claiming advances in a weapons programme it was pursuing in violation of UN resolutions.
Strong demand for gold can be seen on Comex, where speculators raised their bullish bets in gold to the highest in two months in the week to February 7, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.
Meanwhile the price of silver eased back by 0.3% to $17.89/oz on Monday, after earlier touching $18.04/oz, its highest level since November 11. Platinum lost 0.8% to $1,002.3/oz. Palladium was down 0.9% at $776.7/oz, after earlier reaching a two-week high of $786.90.
Source: BusinessDAY
