Silver Price Trend Analysis And Forecast For 2019

This is the 1st article in a series of 4 articles that concludes in a trend forecast for the Silver price 2019.

1. Silver Price Trend Forecast 2018 Review
2. Gold - Silver Ratio
3. Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019
4. Silver Price Trend Forecast Conclusion for 2019

My long standing approach to Silver is one of buying when cheap to invest and forget, for it only tends to come alive towards the end of precious metals bull runs as illustrated the last time I took a look at Silver on the 8th of May 2018 -

Silver Forecast 2018 and Beyond, Investing for the $35+ Price Spike!

In terms of a Silver market position then as is currently the case the silver market can usually be expected to be a dead market with the tendency to flat line not just for many months but even years as it tends to play second fiddle to Gold in terms of tradable swings, usually only really coming alive towards the latter stages of precious metal bull markets.

With the trend analysis in the accompanying video:

At that time Silver was stuck within a converging triangle where I expected the Silver price to ultimately breakout higher.

Well the Silver price did breakout higher, the only problem was that it proved to be a FALSE BREAKOUT. This illustrates the point that Silver in trend analysis terms is not that reliable i.e. technically Silver is a very messy market with dirty tops and bottoms, false breakouts in either directions which is why I approach Silver in terms of investing for spikes rather than trying to trade a trend.

Which brings us to the present that looks set to see the Silver price end 2018 down about 15% on the year.

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Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2018 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

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