Stocks: Should We Buy This Rally?

The S&P 500 index gets closer to the 4,500 level again. So is this a new uptrend or still just an upward correction following the recent declines?

The broad stock market index lost 0.06% on Wednesday following its Tuesday’s advance of 1.6%. Stocks were gaining ahead of quarterly earnings releases. So far, we’ve seen some mixed reactions on those releases. There’s still a lot of uncertainty concerning the Ukraine conflict and Fed’s monetary policy tightening plans. However, this morning the S&P 500 index is expected to open 0.8% higher and we may see an attempt at breaking above the 4,500 level.

The nearest important resistance level is now at around 4,500, marked by the recent support level and last Monday’s daily gap down. On the other hand, the support level is at around 4,350-4,400. The S&P 500 index broke above its downward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

Futures Contract – Just Below the Important 4,500 Level

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. On Tuesday it broke above its short-term downward trend line and it retraced some of the recent declines. The market gets close to the 4,500 resistance level.

Recently, we closed a speculative long position with a gain of 100 points. (our premium Stock Trading Alert includes details of our trading positions along with the stop-loss and profit target levels) (chart by courtesy of http://tradingview.com):

Conclusion

This morning the S&P 500 index is expected to open 0.8% higher following a positive reaction to yesterday’s TSLA quarterly earnings release. The market will get close to the 4,500 level and we may see some buying pressure if the index breaks above it.

Investors will be waiting for more quarterly earnings releases, plus we will get speeches from the Fed Chair Powell today.

• The S&P 500 index will likely extend its short-term uptrend today; a breakout above the 4,500 level may fuel additional rally.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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The information above represents analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak & Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be subject to change without notice. At the time of writing, we base our opinions and analyses on facts and data sourced from respective essays and their authors. Although formed on top of careful research and reputably accurate sources, Paul Rejczak and his associates cannot guarantee the reported data's accuracy and thoroughness. The opinions published above neither recommend nor offer any securities transaction. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading his reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees, affiliates as well as their family members may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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